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A majority of member states at the International Maritime Organization continue to back the proposed Net Zero Framework despite sustained opposition from several countries and industry interests, as supporters seek to keep the measure on track for adoption in December.

The framework, designed to align international shipping with the IMO’s 2023 greenhouse gas reduction strategy, has become a focal point in the debate over how the maritime sector should achieve its decarbonization goals. Advocates argue that the proposal offers the industry much needed certainty during a period of energy transition, while opponents continue to push alternative approaches that would weaken or delay implementation.

Pressure Campaign Fails to Derail Proposal

According to the Clean Shipping Coalition, countries supporting the framework have faced considerable pressure from opponents, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Panama, and Liberia. Despite those efforts, supporters have maintained sufficient backing to keep the framework moving through the IMO process.

Momentum behind the proposal also received a boost following the recent United Nations General Assembly vote adopting the International Court of Justice’s climate ruling. Supporters argue the decision reinforces the principle that addressing climate change is a legal obligation rather than a political choice.

The framework remains scheduled for adoption during a resumed Extraordinary Session in December, following additional discussions at two intersessional IMO meetings planned for September and immediately before the Marine Environment Protection Committee’s eighty fifth session.

Global Fuel Standard at Core of Plan

At the center of the Net Zero Framework is a global fuel standard requiring ships to progressively reduce the greenhouse gas intensity of the fuels they consume. The proposal also introduces a greenhouse gas pricing mechanism designed to create a financial incentive for shipowners and operators to reduce emissions.

The framework would apply to oceangoing vessels above 5,000 gross tonnage, a segment responsible for more than 85 percent of global shipping emissions. Shipping currently accounts for approximately 3 percent of worldwide greenhouse gas emissions, placing the industry under increasing scrutiny from regulators, cargo owners, and investors.

For many in the maritime sector, the debate increasingly centers on certainty. Industry stakeholders have repeatedly warned that an uncoordinated transition could create operational disruptions and unpredictable cost increases across global supply chains.

As one industry observer noted, the choice resembles navigating a vessel through a marked shipping channel rather than entering unfamiliar waters without charts. While the proposed framework may not satisfy every stakeholder, supporters argue it establishes a clear route toward long term compliance.

Alternative Proposals Face Criticism

The Clean Shipping Coalition has criticized competing proposals submitted by Panama, Liberia, Argentina, and Japan, arguing that they lack sufficient mechanisms to meet the emissions reduction commitments established in the IMO’s 2023 strategy.

A key point of contention is the absence of greenhouse gas pricing measures in those alternatives. Critics contend that without a pricing mechanism, enforcement would depend primarily on actions against non compliant vessels, including potential detention or arrest of ships.

Supporters of the Net Zero Framework argue such an approach would create significant uncertainty for shipowners, charterers, and cargo interests. Questions would remain over compliance risks, future transport costs, and investment decisions related to alternative fuels and vessel technology.

The coalition also noted that Japan’s proposal received support from only seven countries during discussions, suggesting limited backing among IMO member states.

Industry Seeks Regulatory Certainty

The IMO’s greenhouse gas strategy calls for shipping emissions to be reduced by at least 30 percent by 2030 and 80 percent by 2040 compared with 2008 levels, with net zero emissions targeted by 2050. Achieving those objectives will require significant investment in alternative fuels, vessel technology, port infrastructure, and supply chain adaptation.

Supporters argue that reopening negotiations on the framework would risk delaying progress at a critical stage. They maintain that the current proposal already reflects years of negotiation and compromise among member states with differing economic and environmental priorities.

As preparations continue for the September and December meetings, attention is likely to focus on whether supporters can maintain momentum and secure final adoption of the framework without further delays. For shipping companies, ports, fuel suppliers, and cargo owners, the outcome could shape investment decisions and operational planning for decades to come.

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